Ol indicators blo ENSO oli stap lo
neutral range afta lo manis blo
June we i stap soem ol sign blo
wan dry taem.
Southern Oscillation Index (SOI).
Lo las tu wiks blo November, SOI
hemi stap lo neutral values. Latest
value blo SOI lo manis blo
November hemi +3.7
Wind
Ol trade wins oli kam strong lo
las tu wiks lo western tropical
Pacific.
Cloudiness
Ol cloud klosap lo dateline i go
daon smol below lo average lo
las tu wiks be hemi remain lo
neutral range.
Sea surface Temperature (SST )
Ol temperature blo solwota lo
manis blo October oli wom lo
tropical Pacific mo i stap muv i
go west compare lo manis blo
September. Most lo ol wom
wota we oli 1 degree womer oli stap west
lo dateline (luk lo map antap).
Model forecast
Ol climate models we Vanuatu
Meteorology mo Geohazards Department
hemi stap usum oli soem se bae yumi stap
lo neutral range kasem early lo nekis yia.
Neutral range hemi mean se bae yumiGeneral Outlook
Past Rainfall
Ol renfol lo manis blo October 2012 lo Vanuatu
hemi soem se i bitim normal lo Sola mo Pekoa.
Normal lo Lamap mo below normal lo ol nara
stations olsem Bauerfield, Port Vila, Whitegrass
mo Aneityum.
Lo las tri manis (August- October 2012), renfol
we i foldaon lo ol manis ia hemi normal lo
Bauerfield, Port Vila mo Aneityum while hemi
bitim normal lo Sola, Pekoa, Lamap mo
Whitegrass station.
Ol renfol we i foldaon lo trifala manis we i pas,
hemi ‘consistent’ wetem wanem yumi forecastem
lo stations blo Sola, Bauerfield mo Port Vila.
Forecast hemi ‘near consistent’ lo Pekoa, Lamap,
Whitegrass mo Aneityum stations.
Upcoming Rainfall
SCOPIC predictions lo manis blo December 2012
kasem February 2013 ( usim SST 1 & 9) lo Vanuatu
Northern Region: Lo ol provinces blo yumi lo Not (
Torba, Sanma, Penama mo Malampa) forecast hemi
bias iko lo renfol we i bitim normal lo tri manis we i
stap kam lo Sola while yumi expectem below normal
ren bae i foldaon lo Pekoa wetem Lamap station.
(Confidence: Low kasem moderate).
Southern Region: Lo ol provinces blo yumi lo saot
(Shefa mo Tafea) forecast hemi bias iko lo renfol we i
below normal lo everi stations blo Bauerfield, Port Vila,
Whitegrass mo Aneityum (Confidence: Moderate
kasem High)
Taem yumi usim SOI olsem predictor, ol renfol blo
yumi lo ol stations lo Vanuatu oli normal lo nekis tri
manis we i stap kam.
Tropical Cyclone Watch
Nowia yumi stap insaed lo 2012-13cyclone season and
department hemi putum out forecast blo hem finis.
Out lo 9-12 cyclones we yumi forecastem blo happen
insaed lo Pacific region, yumi predictem se bae yumi
kasem 2-4 cyclones we bae i pass i kam lo Vanuatu. So
yumi everiwan i mas continue blo prepare from.
Countri blo yumi hemi stap lo wan hotspot blo ol
cyclone lo Pacific region. Department hemi stap
monitorem mo putum aot weekly forecast blo cyclone.